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And the Oscar goes to...Emilio Estevez?

As of this posting, the trailer for Bobby hasn’t come out yet. However, based only on the information currently available, I am predicting that Emilio Estevez is going to win an Oscar. Yes that Emilio Estevez. Yes that Oscar.

You heard it here first folks (well, maybe). The former Mr. Paula Abdul will come from out of nowhere to capture the statue for Best Director and/or Best Screenplay and/or Best Picture for Bobby.

So how can I make such a bold and callous prediction? Let’s examine the Oscar-winning facts:

1) Time

Since meeting his untimely (and uncredited) death-via-elevator in Mission: Impossible (1996), Emilio has kept himself not-so-busy with a variety of projects including a mailed-in “performance” in D3:The Mighty Ducks (1996) and an episode of The West Wing (2003) in which he plays a young version of real dad Martin Sheens’ fake President, Jed Bartlet. So let’s face it, he’s had some spare time to really write a great screenplay.

2) Practice

After practicing his writing/directing skills with Men at Work (1990) and the little seen The War at Home (1996), this new movie should show a more mature and seasoned Emilio. Also, the Academy has never awarded a Best Director trophy to a first-timer. (note: I don’t know if this is actually the case, but it just feels right)

3) Casting

Not since last year’s, Academy Award winner for Best Picture, Crash has a veritable who’s who (and a little who’s that?) of Hollywood latched onto a project. (note: I will concede that it may in fact be because of the success of Crash that such a pantheon of stars chose to attach themselves to the film. This statement however does not support my theory so just forget i mentioned it.)

3a) Casting

Emilio has put himself in the movie. In the past, this has worked two other times. Best Director-winning Mel Gibson acted in and directed Braveheart (1995), the year's Best Picture. Likewise, Best Director-winning Clint Eastwood acted in and directed Best Picture winning Million Dollar Baby (2004).

4) Subject Matter

The Academy tends to give awards to those directors that tackle:

- Socially relevant issues: Steven Soderbergh for Traffic (2000) and Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005).

- Extraordinary/Eccentric lead characters: Ron Howard for A Beautiful Mind (2001) and Roman Polanski for The Pianist (2002).

- Historical events: James Cameron for Titanic (1997) and Steven Spielbeg for Saving Private Ryan (1998). And that’s just from the last 10 years.

So seeing as how Bobby is the story of the assassination of U.S. Senator Robert F. Kennedy, on June 6th, 1968, it covers all 3 academy-favorite topics.

The only real threat to Bobby running away with next years award season is Flags of Our Fathers (2006). This Clint Eastwood directed, Paul Haggis written, based on the best selling book by James Bradley flick, also has all three elements. However unlike Bobby, Flags has the added cache of having the aforementioned two-time best director winner Eastwood, paired up with last years winner and Hollywood golden boy Paul Haggis.

That being said though, I’m still putting my money on Emilio as the dark horse winner. The former Repo Man, is going to walk away with the Oscar, man.


Josh "mediaboy" Gryvatz

Posted by on September 7, 2006 8:19 AM
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Mediaboy, congrats on the article! You should also mention Orson Welles who self-directed in Citizen Kane as backup for your article. Although Emilio may have a little work to do to be in that league. Does Bobby come out in time for consideration? Will it be released this year?
My dark horse pick: Ben Affleck in Hollywoodland for best supporting actor.
Estevez also directed another movie, one called Wisdom and wrote one called "That was then...this is now." So he's got the chops. Personally, I think he peaked with Repo Man, Young Guns and the Breakfast Club.

-- Posted by: Joe at September 7, 2006 3:19 PM


Congrats on having Emilio Estevez post to your blog! You're not fooling anyone "Joe". Gordon Bombay probably found his way over here after googling

Emilio Estevez Oscars -never -"drunk again at the"

-- Posted by: Rudy at March 9, 2007 5:19 PM

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